UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
77%
Aguilar
23%
Esquibel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JA
Jessica Aguilar
"Jag"
20 – 8
5'3"63" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
JE
Jodie Esquibel
6 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aguilar

Aguilar is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

Aguilar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Aguilar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Aguilar
Esquibel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'1"
63"
Reach
+64"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aguilar
Esquibel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
2.6
23.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
Aguilar
Esquibel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
27
8
Body
11
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance34
15Clinch4
0Ground0
Aguilar
Esquibel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aguilar
Esquibel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Aguilar
Esquibel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Aguilar
Esquibel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aguilar
Esquibel
Striking0.4 / 0.0Volume8.4 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Aguilar
Strike Zones
Esquibel
Aguilar
Attacking
42HEAD8BODY7LEGS57 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD11BODY0LEGS38 absorbed
Esquibel
Attacking
27HEAD11BODY0LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
42HEAD8BODY7LEGS57 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aguilar targets the head (74% of attacks) — Esquibel absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Esquibel targets the head (71% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aguilar
RND
Esquibel
0/0R00/0

Aguilar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L4.5W3.3L6.2L2015-082017-052018-072018-112019-03
WinLossTrend

Esquibel · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L5.6L5.5L2017-102018-072019-042019-08
WinLossTrend

Aguilar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Zhang WeiliRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Jodie EsquibelRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08

Esquibel · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Hannah CifersRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AguilarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10

News & Media

Jessica Aguilar · Jodie Esquibel
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