METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Barao
50%
Sanders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:01
★ Official Result
Luke SanderswinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:01
def. Renan Barao · UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barao
→
Actual result
Sanders wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Barao at 50% vs Sanders at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Barao's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanders has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaraoSanders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barao
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
67"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barao
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
15.5
59.4
Performance Avg
41.8
64
Quality of Victory
45
0
Momentum Score
46
Barao
Sanders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
4.6
Style: Volume
3.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Barao
Sanders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barao
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/43 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Barao
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
46
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Barao
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barao
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
BaraoSanders
Strike Zones
Barao
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSanders
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barao targets the body (57% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (86% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barao
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Sanders · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate ManessSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R2
Renan BaraoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04