UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Flyweight
VS
88%
Osbourne
12%
Idiris
Win Probability
Ode
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
139
5'7"73" reachSouthpaw34 yrsStriker
CFR 51
Alibi
Alibi Idiris
111
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Osbourne

A UFC flyweight stalwart faces a TUF finalist hungry to prove he belongs, in a divisional gatekeeper fight with implications for the 125-pound rankings.

Ode Osbourne has spent the better part of a decade as a constant at flyweight — always dangerous, never quite cracking the top ten, but reliably entertaining. At 13-9, the Jamaican-born fighter carries the kind of UFC experience that young prospects like Alibi Idiris have never encountered before, and that experience gap is the most important variable in this fight. Idiris arrives as a TUF finali…

Osbourne intel

Osbourne is seven years into his UFC tenure and has won four of his last seven fights. His boxing skills remain among the better in the division and he rarely wilts under pressure — a concern against a grappler like Idiris who will try to make it uncomfortable early.

Idiris intel

Idiris is a TUF 33 finalist who comes in having been tested by elite competition in that format. His wrestling background is legitimate and his ground-and-pound is his primary weapon. He came off a loss to Joseph Morales at UFC 319, meaning this fight carries rebound pressure for him too.

Key angles

Whether Idiris can repeatedly close distance against Osbourne's sharp counter-striking

Osbourne's ability to keep the fight standing where his technical advantage is clearest

Idiris controlling cage position and grinding rounds — his path to victory runs through volume control

Late-round cardio for both fighters, where Idiris's wrestling tends to compound attrition

Risk flags

Idiris's wrestling can completely shut down Osbourne's best weapons if the takedown defense breaks down

Osbourne's inconsistency — he can look dominant for two rounds and then inexplicably fade

Osbourne
Idiris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
68"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Osbourne
Idiris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
7.0
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
87
Momentum Score
0
Osbourne
Idiris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance7
2Clinch1
0Ground3
Osbourne
Idiris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Osbourne
Idiris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Osbourne
Idiris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
0
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Osbourne
Idiris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Osbourne
Idiris
Striking6.8 / 0.0Volume4.0 / 0.0Grappling1.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Osbourne
Strike Zones
Idiris
Osbourne
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Idiris
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Osbourne targets the head (80% of attacks) — Idiris absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Idiris targets the head (82% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Osbourne
RND
Idiris
0/0R00/0

Osbourne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.8L5.0W3.2L4.5W5.0W1.7L5.4W3.9L2.6L6.7L5.2W6.1L2020-012021-112023-022024-092025-08
WinLossTrend

Osbourne · Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Durden
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Alibi Idiris
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Idiris · Last 2

Upcoming
Ode Osbourne
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Joseph MoralesRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

News & Media

Ode Osbourne · Alibi Idiris
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