UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Flyweight
VS
56%
Van
44%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Van
This is a genuine toss-up — Van at 56% vs Johnson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Van
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
65"
Reach
+70"
24+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Van
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.8
53.8
62.6
Performance Avg
48.4
44
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
75
Van
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
2.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Van
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Van
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Van
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Van
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Van
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
VanJohnson
Strike Zones
Van
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (88% of attacks) — Van absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Van
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Van · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Van · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
Johnson · Last 5
Upcoming
Asu AlmabayevUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

