UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
29%
Anderson
71%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blachowicz
Blachowicz is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Blachowicz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anderson
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
78"
36+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
46.4
50.1
Performance Avg
53.0
39
Quality of Victory
48
98
Momentum Score
20
Anderson
Blachowicz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
3
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Anderson
Blachowicz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
22/40 fights
Anderson
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Anderson
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
58%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anderson
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AndersonBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Anderson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (36% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (85% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anderson
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Blachowicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
Blachowicz · Last 5
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05