METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
25%
Bermudez
75%
Elkins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dennis Bermudez · UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BermudezElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bermudez
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
44.3
43.2
Performance Avg
45.5
33
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
66
Bermudez
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
4.4
6.8
Style: Volume
6.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
18
8
Body
10
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance16
7Clinch12
0Ground0
Bermudez
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bermudez
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Bermudez
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bermudez
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
37%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BermudezElkins
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedElkins
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (62% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (64% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
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W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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