UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
64%
Pennington
36%
Evans-Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:59
Raquel
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
AE
Ashlee Evans-Smith
"Rebel Girl"
6 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pennington

Pennington holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Evans-Smith has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Evans-Smith has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pennington
Evans-Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
26.0
46.8
Performance Avg
33.3
32
Quality of Victory
33
80
Momentum Score
26
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
33%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
2
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
5Clinch10
0Ground0
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pennington
Evans-Smith
Striking1.4 / 4.0Volume7.5 / 6.0Grappling3.7 / 1.6Wrestling2.6 / 1.1Submission2.3 / 0.0Pressure3.7 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Pennington
Strike Zones
Evans-Smith
Pennington
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Evans-Smith
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (60% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Evans-Smith targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pennington
RND
Evans-Smith
0/0R00/0

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L6.0W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.2L6.7L5.3W5.6L4.5W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.9W5.1W7.0L2013-112016-042019-072022-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Evans-Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.1L4.5W5.8W5.9L1.5L4.5W5.9L6.0L6.5L2014-122017-042019-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

Evans-Smith · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Sarah MorasRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

News & Media

Raquel Pennington · Ashlee Evans-Smith
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