METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
64%
Pennington
36%
Evans-Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:59
def. Ashlee Evans-Smith · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pennington holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Evans-Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Evans-Smith has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonEvans-Smith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
26.0
46.8
Performance Avg
33.3
32
Quality of Victory
33
80
Momentum Score
26
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
33%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
2
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
5Clinch10
0Ground0
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Evans-Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
PenningtonEvans-Smith
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedEvans-Smith
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (60% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Evans-Smith targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Evans-Smith
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Evans-Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
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Evans-Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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