UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
38%
Assuncao
62%
Grant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grant
Grant holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Assuncao has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Assuncao
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+69"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
51.7
44.2
Performance Avg
44.2
32
Quality of Victory
36
61
Momentum Score
85
Assuncao
Grant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
17
2
Body
7
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance21
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Assuncao
Grant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Assuncao
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Assuncao
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
85
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Assuncao
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Assuncao
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
AssuncaoGrant
Strike Zones
Assuncao
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedGrant
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (62% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (68% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Assuncao
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Assuncao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8Submission
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