UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Lightweight
VS
48%
Maynard
52%
Siver
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GM
Gray Maynard
13 – 7
5'9"70" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
DS
Dennis Siver
23 – 11
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Siver

This is a genuine toss-up — Maynard at 48% vs Siver at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Siver throws more volume but Maynard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Siver has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maynard
Siver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maynard
Siver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
14.3
41.4
Performance Avg
46.1
28
Quality of Victory
37
60
Momentum Score
43
Maynard
Siver
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
34%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Maynard
Siver
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maynard
Siver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Maynard
Siver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
43
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Maynard
Siver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
42%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maynard
Siver
Striking2.1 / 3.7Volume8.5 / 5.9Grappling2.2 / 2.7Wrestling1.5 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure2.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Maynard
Strike Zones
Siver
Maynard
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Siver
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Siver targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maynard
RND
Siver
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Maynard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W3.4L5.0W1.5L1.5L2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2007-092009-092013-052016-122018-10
WinLossTrend

Siver · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5L4.5W4.1L5.5L4.5W2007-042009-062011-022013-072017-06
WinLossTrend

Maynard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Siver · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel Gamburyan
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12

News & Media

Gray Maynard · Dennis Siver
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