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UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
57%
Thompson
43%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
6'0"75" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 35
β˜… Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Jorge Masvidal Β· UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thompson
β†’
Actual result
Thompson wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Thompson at 57% vs Masvidal at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Masvidal connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Thompson
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
35.2
48.9
Performance Avg
47.0
43
Quality of Victory
42
45
Momentum Score
43
Thompson
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
6
12
Body
3
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
39Distance15
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Thompson
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thompson
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Thompson
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
45
43
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R4
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· R3
Thompson
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thompson
Masvidal
Striking6.1 / 5.3Volume5.1 / 4.4Grappling1.2 / 1.7Wrestling0.8 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.8Pressure5.2 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Thompson
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Thompson
Attacking
26HEAD12BODY1LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Masvidal
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD12BODY1LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (67% of attacks) β€” Masvidal absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the legs (44% of attacks) β€” Thompson absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Thompson
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Thompson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.1L6.0W5.5W5.7L6.6L6.0W4.8L5.2L7.2L2012-022015-072019-032023-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Masvidal Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Thompson Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira Β· 2025-07
L Β· KO Β· R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Β· 2024-10
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Β· 2023-12
W Β· KO Β· R4
Kevin HollandRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Β· 2022-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus Β· 2021-12

Masvidal Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Β· 2023-04
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Β· 2022-03
L Β· KO Β· R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 Β· 2021-04
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal Β· 2020-07
W Β· R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz Β· 2019-11

News & Media

Stephen Thompson Β· Jorge Masvidal
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