METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
57%
Thompson
43%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Masvidal · UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thompson
→
Actual result
Thompson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thompson at 57% vs Masvidal at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thompson
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
35.2
48.9
Performance Avg
47.0
43
Quality of Victory
42
45
Momentum Score
43
Thompson
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.1
Style: Volume
4.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
6
12
Body
3
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
39Distance15
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Thompson
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Thompson
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Thompson
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
ThompsonMasvidal
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimDecision
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L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11