METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 72: Victory
Belfast, United Kingdom
16 Jun 2007
Middleweight
VS
70%
Herman
30%
Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:25
★ Official Result
Ed HermanwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:25
def. Scott Smith · UFC 72: Victory
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Herman wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Herman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HermanSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herman
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
70"
45+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
16.2
47.4
Performance Avg
43.0
44
Quality of Victory
55
82
Momentum Score
22
Herman
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.8
3.5
Style: Volume
0.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground1
Herman
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herman
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Herman
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Herman
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HermanSmith
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSmith
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
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Smith · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanSubmission
UFC 72: Victory · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteDecision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · KO · R2
Pete SellKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
David TerrellSubmission
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