UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Pickett
12%
Page
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:05
BP
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
25 – 14
5'6"68" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DP
Damacio Page
"The Angel of Death"
19 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pickett

Pickett is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pickett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Page has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Page has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pickett
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
1.8
36.4
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Pickett
Page
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
30%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch2
12Ground2
Pickett
Page
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
3/29 fights
Pickett
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Pickett
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pickett
Page
Striking2.7 / 0.0Volume5.5 / 0.0Grappling3.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pickett
Strike Zones
Page
Pickett
Attacking
19HEAD0BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Page
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD0BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (95% of attacks) — Page absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (90% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pickett
RND
Page
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pickett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0101.5L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L4.8L2011-112013-042014-112016-122017-03
WinLossTrend

Page · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.4
0101.5L2.8L3.0L2011-032012-042012-07
WinLossTrend

Pickett · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07

Page · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Alex CaceresRating 3
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Brian BowlesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03

News & Media

Brad Pickett · Damacio Page
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