METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Pickett
12%
Page
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Brad PickettwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:05
def. Damacio Page · UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pickett
→
Actual result
Pickett wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Pickett is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pickett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Page has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettPage
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
1.8
36.4
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Pickett
Page
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.5
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch2
12Ground2
Pickett
Page
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pickett
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
3/29 fights
Pickett
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Pickett
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Page
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PickettPage
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedPage
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (95% of attacks) — Page absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (90% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Page
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraSubmission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
Page · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Alex CaceresSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Sub · R2
Brad PickettSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Brian BowlesSubmission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03