METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Pickett
12%
Page
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Brad PickettwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:05
def. Damacio Page · UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pickett
→
Actual result
Pickett wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Pickett is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pickett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Page has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Page has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettPage
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
1.8
36.4
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Pickett
Page
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.7
30%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch2
12Ground2
Pickett
Page
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
3/29 fights
Pickett
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Pickett
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Page
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PickettPage
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedPage
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (95% of attacks) — Page absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (90% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Page
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Page · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
Page · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Alex CaceresRating 3Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Brian BowlesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03