UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
33%
Pearson
67%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Masvidal
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Pearson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pearson throws more volume but Masvidal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pearson
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
35.2
44.3
Performance Avg
47.0
42
Quality of Victory
42
89
Momentum Score
43
Pearson
Masvidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
31
7
Body
3
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pearson
Masvidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Pearson
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Pearson
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
PearsonMasvidal
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (36% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11