METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Featherweight
VS
58%
Bermudez
42%
Grice
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dennis BermudezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Grice · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bermudez at 58% vs Grice at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grice has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BermudezGrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bermudez
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
10.6
43.2
Performance Avg
26.4
33
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
55
Bermudez
Grice
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
2.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
15
9
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance8
31Clinch15
18Ground0
Bermudez
Grice
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Bermudez
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
55
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Bermudez
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Grice
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
BermudezGrice
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
66 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGrice
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
66 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (65% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Grice · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Grice · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertyRating 1.5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02