METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Featherweight
VS
58%
Bermudez
42%
Grice
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dennis BermudezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Grice · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bermudez at 58% vs Grice at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BermudezGrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bermudez
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
39+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
10.6
43.2
Performance Avg
26.4
33
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
55
Bermudez
Grice
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
0.9
6.8
Style: Volume
8.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
15
9
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance8
31Clinch15
18Ground0
Bermudez
Grice
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bermudez
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Bermudez
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
55
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Bermudez
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Grice
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
BermudezGrice
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
66 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGrice
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
66 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (65% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Grice · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaDecision
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L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
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L · KO · R1
Matt VeachKO/TKO
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