UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Featherweight
VS
58%
Bermudez
42%
Grice
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
17 – 9
5'6"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MG
Matt Grice
"The Real One"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bermudez

This is a genuine toss-up — Bermudez at 58% vs Grice at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Grice has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bermudez
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
10.6
43.2
Performance Avg
26.4
33
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
55
Bermudez
Grice
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
15
9
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance8
31Clinch15
18Ground0
Bermudez
Grice
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Bermudez
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
55
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Bermudez
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bermudez
Grice
Striking2.2 / 0.6Volume6.8 / 8.6Grappling3.3 / 2.4Wrestling2.3 / 1.7Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Bermudez
Strike Zones
Grice
Bermudez
Attacking
53HEAD9BODY4LEGS66 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY3LEGS23 absorbed
Grice
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY3LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
53HEAD9BODY4LEGS66 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (65% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bermudez
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bermudez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L4.5L4.5W4.5W2.0L6.0L6.2L5.6L4.5W2011-122013-112016-022018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Grice · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0101.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W5.5L2007-042009-022011-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Bermudez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

Grice · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Dennis Bermudez · Matt Grice
← Back to fights