UFC 42: Sudden Impact
Miami, USA
25 Apr 2003
Welterweight
VS
32%
Spratt
68%
Lawler
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawler
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Spratt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Spratt's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Spratt
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
Reach
74"
55
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Spratt
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
40.7
47.7
Performance Avg
51.0
51
Quality of Victory
45
59
Momentum Score
90
Spratt
Lawler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
2
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance0
3Clinch8
0Ground0
Spratt
Lawler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Spratt
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/48 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
Spratt
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Spratt
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spratt
Lawler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
SprattLawler
Strike Zones
Spratt
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedLawler
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spratt targets the head (40% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the body (75% of attacks) — Spratt absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spratt
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0
Spratt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Spratt · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Sub · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8Submission
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy JacksonRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5Submission
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08