METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Flyweight
VS
58%
Royval
42%
Schnell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:14
★ Official Result
Brandon RoyvalwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:14
def. Matt Schnell · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Royval
→
Actual result
Royval wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Royval at 58% vs Schnell at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Royval's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Schnell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RoyvalSchnell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Royval
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
34+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Royval
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.7
37.5
50.5
Performance Avg
39.6
43
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
45
Royval
Schnell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
4.3
4.2
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
2
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance10
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Royval
Schnell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Royval
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Royval
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Royval
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Royval
Schnell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
RoyvalSchnell
Strike Zones
Royval
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSchnell
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Royval targets the head (64% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (75% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Royval
RND
Schnell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Royval · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Lone'er KavanaghSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Schnell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alessandro CostaKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
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