UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Middleweight
VS
47%
Souza
53%
Belfort
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:38
JS
Jacare Souza
26 – 10
6'1"72" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 20
VB
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
26 – 14
Knockout Artist49 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Belfort

This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 47% vs Belfort at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belfort has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Souza
Belfort
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Belfort
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
21.9
54.6
Performance Avg
59.2
53
Quality of Victory
59
56
Momentum Score
91
Souza
Belfort
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch1
36Ground3
Souza
Belfort
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Belfort
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
26/40 fights
Souza
Belfort
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
91
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Souza
Belfort
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
87%
4
KO / TKO Wins
11
4
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Belfort
Striking5.6 / 8.5Volume2.0 / 1.7Grappling3.8 / 1.2Wrestling2.7 / 0.9Submission4.4 / 1.3Pressure7.9 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.7
Souza
Strike Zones
Belfort
Souza
Attacking
38HEAD1BODY0LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Belfort
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD1BODY0LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (97% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Belfort targets the head (75% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Belfort
0/0R00/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W3.7L5.3W5.8L6.3W6.4L6.1L2.1L2.4L2013-052015-042017-042019-042021-05
WinLossTrend

Belfort · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.0W4.8L5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.2L5.1W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W2.8L1997-022003-062012-012016-052018-05
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11

Belfort · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

News & Media

Jacare Souza · Vitor Belfort
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