UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Camus
51%
Meza
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meza
This is a genuine toss-up — Camus at 49% vs Meza at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Meza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Camus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Camus
Meza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camus
Meza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.5
13.2
32.1
Performance Avg
35.7
25
Quality of Victory
37
45
Momentum Score
26
Camus
Meza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Camus
Meza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Camus
Meza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Camus
Meza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Camus
Meza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camus
Meza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
CamusMeza
Strike Zones
Camus
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMeza
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meza targets the body (100% of attacks) — Camus absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camus
RND
Meza
0/0R00/0
Camus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Meza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Camus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris HoldsworthRating 5.5Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Upcoming
Yaotzin MezaUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
Meza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Sam SiciliaRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Damian StasiakRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Chico CamusUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01