METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Featherweight
VS
71%
Andrade
29%
Barao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Douglas Silva de AndradewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Renan Barao · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Andrade is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barao has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradeBarao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Barao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+70"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Barao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
15.7
42.2
Performance Avg
59.4
37
Quality of Victory
64
28
Momentum Score
0
Andrade
Barao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.6
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
16
6
Body
3
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Andrade
Barao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Barao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/43 fights
Andrade
Barao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Andrade
Barao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Barao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
AndradeBarao
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedBarao
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (79% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Barao targets the head (67% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Barao
0/0R00/0
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesKO/TKO
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Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherDecision
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