UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Welterweight
VS
29%
Saunders
71%
Sato
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:18
BS
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22 – 13
6'2"77" reachOrthodox43 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
TS
Takashi Sato
"Ten"
16 – 7
Knockout Artist4-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sato

Sato is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Saunders's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sato has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Saunders
Sato
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
73"
43
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saunders
Sato
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
38.3
46.4
Performance Avg
45.9
46
Quality of Victory
58
50
Momentum Score
46
Saunders
Sato
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
15
1
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Saunders
Sato
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saunders
Sato
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.9 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/35 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Saunders
Sato
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Saunders
Sato
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saunders
Sato
Striking4.3 / 10.0Volume3.6 / 0.6Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.4 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Saunders
Strike Zones
Sato
Saunders
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY5LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Sato
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY5LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saunders targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Sato absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Sato targets the head (94% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saunders
RND
Sato
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Saunders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.7W2.8L2.8L5.0W2.8L1.5L2.9L3.1L2007-122010-032016-012018-092019-12
WinLossTrend

Sato · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.1L5.0W3.3L6.6L3.3L5.9L2019-042020-062022-032023-05
WinLossTrend

Saunders · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

Sato · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Bryan BattleRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · Sub · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R1
Jason WittRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06

News & Media

Ben Saunders · Takashi Sato
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