UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Middleweight
VS
45%
Souza
55%
Mousasi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:30
JS
Jacare Souza
26 – 10
6'1"72" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 20
GM
Gegard Mousasi
42 – 6
Striker5-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mousasi

This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 45% vs Mousasi at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Mousasi throws more volume but Souza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mousasi has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Souza
Mousasi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+76"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Mousasi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
23.5
54.6
Performance Avg
59.2
53
Quality of Victory
49
56
Momentum Score
100
Souza
Mousasi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
17
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance16
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Souza
Mousasi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Mousasi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
12/48 fights
Souza
Mousasi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Souza
Mousasi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Mousasi
Striking5.6 / 7.1Volume2.0 / 4.2Grappling3.8 / 1.7Wrestling2.7 / 1.2Submission4.4 / 1.1Pressure7.9 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Souza
Strike Zones
Mousasi
Souza
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Mousasi
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (64% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Mousasi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Mousasi
0/0R00/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W3.7L5.3W5.8L6.3W6.4L6.1L2.1L2.4L2013-052015-042017-042019-042021-05
WinLossTrend

Mousasi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W6.1W2013-042014-092015-092016-102017-04
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11

Mousasi · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

News & Media

Jacare Souza · Gegard Mousasi
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