METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Lightweight
VS
48%
Fisher
52%
Gugerty
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:56
★ Official Result
Spencer FisherwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:56
def. Shannon Gugerty · UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gugerty
→
Actual result
Fisher wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fisher at 48% vs Gugerty at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gugerty has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Fisher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gugerty has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FisherGugerty
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fisher
Gugerty
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
50
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Gugerty
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
19.1
43.8
Performance Avg
48.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
89
Momentum Score
52
Fisher
Gugerty
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
2
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance4
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Fisher
Gugerty
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fisher
Gugerty
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Fisher
Gugerty
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Fisher
Gugerty
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fisher
Gugerty
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
FisherGugerty
Strike Zones
Fisher
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGugerty
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the body (100% of attacks) — Gugerty absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gugerty targets the body (75% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fisher
RND
Gugerty
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fisher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gugerty · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Fisher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
Gugerty · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimRating 2.8Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Matt GriceRating 5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · Sub · R3
Spencer FisherRating 4Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Sub · R1
Dale HarttRating 5Submission
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07