METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Lightweight
VS
48%
Fisher
52%
Gugerty
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:56
★ Official Result
Spencer FisherwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:56
def. Shannon Gugerty · UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gugerty
→
Actual result
Fisher wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fisher at 48% vs Gugerty at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gugerty has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gugerty has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FisherGugerty
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fisher
Gugerty
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
50
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Gugerty
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
19.1
43.8
Performance Avg
48.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
89
Momentum Score
52
Fisher
Gugerty
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
8.2
4.6
Style: Volume
0.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
2
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance4
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Fisher
Gugerty
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fisher
Gugerty
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Fisher
Gugerty
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Fisher
Gugerty
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fisher
Gugerty
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
FisherGugerty
Strike Zones
Fisher
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGugerty
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the body (100% of attacks) — Gugerty absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gugerty targets the body (75% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fisher
RND
Gugerty
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fisher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonDecision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
Gugerty · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimSubmission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Matt GriceSubmission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · Sub · R3
Spencer FisherSubmission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Sub · R1
Dale HarttSubmission
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07