UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Middleweight
VS
48%
Craig
52%
Muniz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Muniz
This is a genuine toss-up — Craig at 48% vs Muniz at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Craig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Craig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Craig's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Muniz has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Craig
Muniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Craig
Muniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
53.7
50.4
Performance Avg
47.7
52
Quality of Victory
40
46
Momentum Score
92
Craig
Muniz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
11
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
30Ground8
Craig
Muniz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Craig
Muniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
10/32 fights
Craig
Muniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
92
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Craig
Muniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Craig
Muniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
CraigMuniz
Strike Zones
Craig
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMuniz
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Craig targets the head (97% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Muniz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Craig
RND
Muniz
0/0R00/0
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Muniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3KO/TKO
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Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.3Submission
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