UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
52%
Osipczak
48%
Riddle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:53
NO
Nick Osipczak
6 – 3
6'2"76" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 20
MR
Matthew Riddle
"Deep Waters"
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak40 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Osipczak

This is a genuine toss-up — Osipczak at 52% vs Riddle at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Osipczak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Osipczak has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Osipczak
Riddle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Osipczak
Riddle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
18.3
47.2
Performance Avg
45.6
52
Quality of Victory
29
59
Momentum Score
88
Osipczak
Riddle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
4
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
2Clinch3
21Ground2
Osipczak
Riddle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Osipczak
Riddle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12 fights
Osipczak
Riddle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
88
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Osipczak
Riddle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Osipczak
Riddle
Striking5.8 / 2.8Volume0.8 / 7.1Grappling4.0 / 1.7Wrestling2.8 / 1.2Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Osipczak
Strike Zones
Riddle
Osipczak
Attacking
26HEAD1BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Riddle
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD1BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Osipczak targets the head (90% of attacks) — Riddle absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Riddle targets the head (57% of attacks) — Osipczak absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Osipczak
RND
Riddle
0/0R00/0

Osipczak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L2009-062009-112010-042010-082010-11
WinLossTrend

Riddle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W2008-062009-112010-122012-11
WinLossTrend

Osipczak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Duane LudwigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Greg SotoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · KO · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Frank LesterRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06

Riddle · Last 5

Upcoming
Che Mills
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
Upcoming
Chris Clements
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09

News & Media

Nick Osipczak · Matthew Riddle
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