UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
Denver, USA
24 Sept 2011
Welterweight
VS
58%
Hughes
42%
Koscheck
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
MH
Matt Hughes
45 – 9
5'9"73" reachSwitch52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
JK
Josh Koscheck
17 – 11
Well-Rounded5-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hughes

This is a genuine toss-up — Hughes at 58% vs Koscheck at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Koscheck has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hughes
Koscheck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
52
Age
+48
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Koscheck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
16.9
64.6
Performance Avg
50.5
60
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
59
Hughes
Koscheck
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
23
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance10
0Clinch5
0Ground11
Hughes
Koscheck
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hughes
Koscheck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
25/28 fights
Hughes
Koscheck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hughes
Koscheck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hughes
Koscheck
Striking4.8 / 5.2Volume3.7 / 4.4Grappling2.9 / 2.6Wrestling2.0 / 1.8Submission2.8 / 2.0Pressure6.4 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Hughes
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Hughes
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD3BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Koscheck
Attacking
23HEAD3BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Koscheck targets the head (88% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hughes
RND
Koscheck
0/0R00/0

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W4.0W1.5L5.1W5.4W5.4W4.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L4.5W2.1L2.8L4.5W5.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L1999-092003-042006-052010-042011-09
WinLossTrend

Koscheck · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.8L1.5L2.8L1.5L2005-042007-042009-092013-022015-03
WinLossTrend

Hughes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 5
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05

Koscheck · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05

News & Media

Matt Hughes · Josh Koscheck
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