METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Middleweight
VS
62%
Vieira
38%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Rodolfo VieirawinsSubmissionR3 · 1:54
def. Dustin Stoltzfus · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vieira
→
Actual result
Vieira wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Vieira holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VieiraStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
37.1
49.5
Performance Avg
42.1
46
Quality of Victory
46
91
Momentum Score
10
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
2.4
Style: Volume
2.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
5.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
VieiraStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
Vieira · Last 5
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