METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Middleweight
VS
64%
Vieira
36%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Rodolfo VieirawinsSubmissionR3 · 1:54
def. Dustin Stoltzfus · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vieira
→
Actual result
Vieira wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Vieira holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Stoltzfus throws more volume but Vieira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VieiraStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
34.6
49.5
Performance Avg
38.9
46
Quality of Victory
45
91
Momentum Score
10
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
7.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
5.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
VieiraStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Bo NickalRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Armen PetrosyanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Stoltzfus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12