★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
85%
Jones
15%
Sonnen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:33
Jon
Jon Jones
"Bones"
28 – 1
6'4"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs19-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 71
CS
Chael Sonnen
29 – 15
Well-Rounded49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'1"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jones

Jones is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sonnen has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jones
Sonnen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
84"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jones
Sonnen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
12.8
74.6
Performance Avg
40.4
61
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
45
Jones
Sonnen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
58%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
4
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
5Clinch6
15Ground0
Jones
Sonnen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Sonnen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
14/44 fights
Jones
Sonnen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Jones
Sonnen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones
Sonnen
Striking4.6 / 1.0Volume5.5 / 6.7Grappling3.3 / 4.0Wrestling2.3 / 2.8Submission2.7 / 2.9Pressure6.7 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Jones
Strike Zones
Sonnen
Jones
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD6BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Sonnen
Attacking
0HEAD6BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Sonnen targets the body (100% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones
RND
Sonnen
0/0R00/0

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.1W4.5W5.4W5.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.7W4.5W5.5W6.8W6.3W2008-082011-022013-042019-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Sonnen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0102.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L5.2W4.5W2.1L3.3L5.0W1.5L2005-102009-052011-102013-082013-11
WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

Sonnen · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01

News & Media

Jon Jones · Chael Sonnen
← Back to fights