UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Lightweight
VS
57%
Martin
43%
White
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martin
This is a genuine toss-up — Martin at 57% vs White at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Martin's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
White has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Martin
White
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
71"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Martin
White
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
13.2
45.3
Performance Avg
40.8
35
Quality of Victory
41
65
Momentum Score
15
Martin
White
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
3
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Martin
White
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martin
White
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Martin
White
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
15
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Martin
White
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martin
White
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MartinWhite
Strike Zones
Martin
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedWhite
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martin targets the body (60% of attacks) — White absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯White targets the head (33% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martin
RND
White
0/0R00/0
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
White · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
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L · Dec · R3
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