UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
60%
Santos
40%
Akhmedov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:03
CFR 45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Akhmedov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Akhmedov has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Akhmedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Akhmedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
30.2
49.3
Performance Avg
47.0
39
Quality of Victory
36
45
Momentum Score
100
Santos
Akhmedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
12
13
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance7
32Clinch8
0Ground0
Santos
Akhmedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Akhmedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Santos
Akhmedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Akhmedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Akhmedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
SantosAkhmedov
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedAkhmedov
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (80% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Akhmedov
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Akhmedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom BreeseRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09