METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
70%
Santos
30%
Akhmedov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:03
Elizeu
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
2510
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
OA
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
216
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantoswinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:03
def. Omari Akhmedov · UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Santos is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Akhmedov has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SantosAkhmedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Santos
Akhmedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Akhmedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
19.2
49.3
Performance Avg
47.0
39
Quality of Victory
36
45
Momentum Score
100
Santos
Akhmedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
4.3
5.7
Style: Volume
6.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
12
13
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance7
32Clinch8
0Ground0
Santos
Akhmedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Akhmedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Santos
Akhmedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Akhmedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Akhmedov
Striking4.9 / 3.5Volume5.7 / 6.6Grappling2.0 / 2.5Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.9 / 1.1Pressure5.1 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Santos
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Santos
Attacking
38HEAD13BODY0LEGS51 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Akhmedov
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD13BODY0LEGS51 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (80% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Akhmedov
0/0R00/0

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Neil Magny
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi Njokuani
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary Scroggin
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Akhmedov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom Breese
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris Weidman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian Heinisch
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

News & Media

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Omari Akhmedov
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