UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Araujo
50%
Cortez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Viviane
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13 – 7
5'4"68" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Tracy
Tracy Cortez
12 – 3
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Araujo

This is a genuine toss-up — Araujo at 50% vs Cortez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cortez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Araujo
Cortez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
68"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Araujo
Cortez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
49.1
38.7
Performance Avg
45.0
29
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
75
Araujo
Cortez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
28
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground23
Araujo
Cortez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Araujo
Cortez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Araujo
Cortez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
75
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Araujo
Cortez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Araujo
Cortez
Striking2.5 / 1.5Volume7.9 / 9.5Grappling2.1 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Araujo
Strike Zones
Cortez
Araujo
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD1BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Cortez
Attacking
28HEAD1BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Araujo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cortez targets the head (93% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Araujo
RND
Cortez
0/0R00/0

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.8L4.9W6.7L5.6L4.5W7.0L5.7W6.2L2019-052021-012023-032025-06
WinLossTrend

Cortez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W4.5W5.4W5.4W6.9L5.2W4.3L2019-112021-042023-092025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Araujo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Cortez · Last 5

Upcoming
Wang Cong
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Viviane Araujo · Tracy Cortez
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