UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Featherweight
VS
46%
Andrade
54%
Tukhugov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Douglas
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29 – 7
5'7"68" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
ZT
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
20 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tukhugov

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 46% vs Tukhugov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Tukhugov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade
Tukhugov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
68"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Tukhugov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
44.4
42.2
Performance Avg
48.4
37
Quality of Victory
39
28
Momentum Score
92
Andrade
Tukhugov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
1
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance15
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Andrade
Tukhugov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Tukhugov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Andrade
Tukhugov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
92
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Andrade
Tukhugov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Tukhugov
Striking3.9 / 5.3Volume5.6 / 6.0Grappling2.5 / 1.4Wrestling1.8 / 1.0Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Andrade
Strike Zones
Tukhugov
Andrade
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Tukhugov
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (82% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Tukhugov
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.0L4.7W5.5W4.0L5.3W4.3L4.5W7.0L5.0W5.2W6.9L4.5W5.5L3.9L2014-022018-022021-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Tukhugov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.7W5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L4.6W6.3L2014-022015-122020-022021-102023-02
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9
KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

Tukhugov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone Murphy
Decision
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News & Media

Douglas Silva de Andrade · Zubaira Tukhugov
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