UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
47%
MacDonald
53%
Lambert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:20
JM
Jason MacDonald
"The Athlete"
25 – 16
6'3"80" reachOrthodox50 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
JL
Jason Lambert
"The Punisher"
26 – 13
Knockout Artist3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lambert

This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 47% vs Lambert at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lambert has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lambert has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

MacDonald
Lambert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
75"
50
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Lambert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
19.4
48.8
Performance Avg
53.6
53
Quality of Victory
56
52
Momentum Score
59
MacDonald
Lambert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
1Ground0
MacDonald
Lambert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Lambert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/39 fights
MacDonald
Lambert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
MacDonald
Lambert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Lambert
Striking4.2 / 8.5Volume0.9 / 1.0Grappling5.3 / 2.0Wrestling3.7 / 1.4Submission6.7 / 2.5Pressure8.3 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Lambert
MacDonald
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Lambert
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lambert absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lambert targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Lambert
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.2W5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L2006-102007-102008-122011-092012-05
WinLossTrend

Lambert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W2.8L1.5L2.8L2006-032006-062007-032008-062008-09
WinLossTrend

MacDonald · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Lambert · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jason MacDonaldRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01
W · KO · R2
Renato SobralRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09

News & Media

Jason MacDonald · Jason Lambert
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