METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
47%
MacDonald
53%
Lambert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:20
★ Official Result
Jason MacDonaldwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:20
def. Jason Lambert · UFC 88: Breakthrough
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lambert
→
Actual result
MacDonald wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 47% vs Lambert at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lambert has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldLambert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Lambert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
75"
51
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Lambert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
19.4
48.8
Performance Avg
53.6
53
Quality of Victory
56
52
Momentum Score
59
MacDonald
Lambert
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
8.5
0.9
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
1Ground0
MacDonald
Lambert
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Lambert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/39 fights
MacDonald
Lambert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
MacDonald
Lambert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Lambert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
MacDonaldLambert
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLambert
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lambert absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lambert targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Lambert
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenSubmission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterKO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryKO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
Lambert · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jason MacDonaldSubmission
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneKO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaKO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01
W · KO · R2
Renato SobralKO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansKO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09