UFC 58: USA vs Canada
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2006
Welterweight
VS
53%
St-Pierre
47%
Penn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GS
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
26 – 2
5'11"76" reachOrthodox45 yrs13-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 25
BP
BJ Penn
"The Prodigy"
16 – 14
Well-Rounded7-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: St-Pierre

This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 53% vs Penn at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

St-Pierre has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penn has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

St-Pierre
Penn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
70"
45+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Penn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
22.2
67.2
Performance Avg
56.9
51
Quality of Victory
63
100
Momentum Score
100
St-Pierre
Penn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance3
5Clinch2
4Ground0
St-Pierre
Penn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Penn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
27/30 fights
St-Pierre
Penn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
St-Pierre
Penn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

St-Pierre
Penn
Striking4.3 / 6.0Volume6.6 / 1.6Grappling2.6 / 2.9Wrestling1.9 / 2.0Submission1.5 / 3.3Pressure5.5 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
St-Pierre
Strike Zones
Penn
St-Pierre
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Penn
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (84% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Penn targets the head (60% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

St-Pierre
RND
Penn
0/0R00/0

St-Pierre · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.1W1.5L4.5W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W2004-012006-032008-082012-112017-11
WinLossTrend

Penn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.1W5.2W3.4L5.4W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L2.8L3.7L5.5L1.5L6.0L2001-052006-032009-122017-012019-05
WinLossTrend

St-Pierre · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Penn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

News & Media

Georges St-Pierre · BJ Penn
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