UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Shenzhen, China
31 Aug 2019
Middleweight
VS
47%
Park
53%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hernandez
This is a genuine toss-up — Park at 47% vs Hernandez at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hernandez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Park throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Park's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hernandez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Park
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Park
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
63.7
47.9
Performance Avg
56.2
34
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
98
Park
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
66%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
30
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance23
7Clinch2
0Ground7
Park
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Park
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Park
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Park
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Park
Hernandez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
ParkHernandez
Strike Zones
Park
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedHernandez
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Park targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (94% of attacks) — Park absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Park
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
Park · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Park · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovRating 7.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
Hernandez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2Submission
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