UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
82%
Yusuff
18%
Moraes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yusuff
Yusuff is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yusuff has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Yusuff has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moraes has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yusuff
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+72"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yusuff
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
11.4
48.9
Performance Avg
31.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
54
Momentum Score
40
Yusuff
Moraes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
9
6
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance16
2Clinch2
9Ground0
Yusuff
Moraes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yusuff
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Yusuff
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Yusuff
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yusuff
Moraes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
YusuffMoraes
Strike Zones
Yusuff
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedMoraes
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yusuff targets the head (71% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yusuff absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yusuff
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Yusuff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Yusuff · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Don ShainisRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Julio ArceRating 5.2Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Matt SaylesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Sub · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11