UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Lightweight
VS
66%
Bocek
34%
Robinson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bocek
Bocek holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Robinson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bocek has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Bocek throws more volume but Robinson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bocek's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robinson has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bocek
Robinson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
75"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bocek
Robinson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
8.8
47.6
Performance Avg
25.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
48
Momentum Score
22
Bocek
Robinson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Bocek
Robinson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bocek
Robinson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/24 fights
Bocek
Robinson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
22
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Bocek
Robinson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bocek
Robinson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BocekRobinson
Strike Zones
Bocek
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRobinson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bocek targets the head (89% of attacks) — Robinson absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Robinson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bocek
RND
Robinson
0/0R00/0
Bocek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Robinson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Bocek · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Robinson · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Mark BocekRating 4Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R1
Nate DiazRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01
W · Dec · R3
Jorge GurgelRating 4.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
L · KO · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07