METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Heavyweight
VS
72%
Arlovski
28%
Harris
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Arlovski
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
77"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Arlovski
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
18.9
50.5
Performance Avg
51.0
47
Quality of Victory
58
94
Momentum Score
65
Arlovski
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
5.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.2
5.3
Style: Volume
0.8
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
5
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Arlovski
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Arlovski
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
ArlovskiHarris
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHarris
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (42% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (75% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
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