UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Heavyweight
VS
62%
Arlovski
38%
Harris
Win Probability
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
WH
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13 – 10
Knockout Artist3-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'5"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Harris has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
77"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Arlovski
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
29.6
50.5
Performance Avg
51.0
47
Quality of Victory
58
94
Momentum Score
65
Arlovski
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
5
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Arlovski
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Arlovski
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Harris
Striking5.0 / 10.0Volume5.3 / 0.8Grappling1.9 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Harris
Arlovski
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Harris
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (42% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (75% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Harris · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5L2.7L2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.0L5.2W5.5W5.0W2.1L4.0L1.9L2013-112016-102017-112020-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Harris · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Walt Harris
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