UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Randamie
53%
Pena
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:25
Germaine
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
10 – 5
5'9"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Julianna
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
13 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pena

This is a genuine toss-up — Randamie at 47% vs Pena at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Pena throws more volume but Randamie connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pena has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Randamie
Pena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Randamie
Pena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
65.6
56.2
Performance Avg
58.0
47
Quality of Victory
52
97
Momentum Score
100
Randamie
Pena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Randamie
Pena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Randamie
Pena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
62
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Randamie
Pena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Randamie
Pena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Randamie
Pena
Striking5.7 / 3.8Volume4.8 / 5.3Grappling2.2 / 3.2Wrestling1.5 / 2.2Submission1.4 / 2.5Pressure6.1 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Randamie
Strike Zones
Pena
Randamie
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Pena
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Randamie targets the head (73% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Pena targets the head (75% of attacks) — Randamie absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Randamie
RND
Pena
0/0R00/0

Randamie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W2.7L5.2W5.0W4.6W5.1W5.0W6.7L7.0W6.0L2013-072016-052019-072024-04
WinLossTrend

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.2L5.5W6.3W6.7L5.1W4.3L2013-112016-072020-102022-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Randamie · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aspen LaddRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11

Pena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

News & Media

Germaine de Randamie · Julianna Pena
← Back to fights