Germaine de Randamie vs Julianna Pena — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

3 Oct 2020

Women's Bantamweight

47%

Randamie

53%

Pena

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 3:25

Germaine de Randamie

"The Iron Lady"

10 – 5

5'9"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 58

Julianna Pena

"The Venezuelan Vixen"

13 – 6

Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"

CFR 66

★ Official Result

Germaine de RandamiewinsSubmissionR3 · 3:25

def. Julianna Pena · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pena

→

Actual result

Randamie wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Randamie at 47% vs Pena at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Pena throws more volume but Randamie connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pena has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RandamiePena

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Randamie

Pena

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'6"

71"+

Reach

69"

Age

+36

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Randamie

Pena

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

58.3

65.6

56.2

Performance Avg

58.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Randamie

Pena

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

1.7

53%

Strike Accuracy

50%

5.7

Striking Style Score (/10)

3.8

3 KOs

KO Finishes

2 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance6

3Clinch2

0Ground0

Randamie

Pena

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.2

/ 10

3.2

/ 10

1.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.2

1.4

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Randamie

Pena

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

8 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

10/15 fights

Chin rating based on

12/19 fights

Randamie

Pena

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R3

Randamie

Pena

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

57%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Randamie

Pena

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.8

2.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.2

1.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.2

1.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

6.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.5

4.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.3

Randamie

Strike Zones

Pena

Randamie

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Pena

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Randamie targets the head (73% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 73% of strikes there

🎯Pena targets the head (75% of attacks) — Randamie absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Randamie

RND

Pena

0/0R00/0

Randamie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2

WinLossTrend

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0

WinLossTrend

Randamie · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Norma DumontRating 6

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

W · Sub · R3

Julianna PenaRating 7

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

L · Dec · R5

Amanda NunesRating 6.7

Decision

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

W · KO · R1

Aspen LaddRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07

W · Dec · R3

Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11

Pena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3

Submission

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

W · Dec · R5

Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1

Decision

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

L · Dec · R5

Amanda NunesRating 6.7

Decision

UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07

W · Sub · R2

Amanda NunesRating 6.3

Submission

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12

W · Sub · R3

Sara McMannRating 5.5

Submission

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

News & Media

Germaine de Randamie · Julianna Pena

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