★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
46%
Pena
54%
Harrison
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:55
Julianna
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
13 – 6
5'6"69" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Kayla
Kayla Harrison
19 – 1
Pressure Fighter3-fight win streak35 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'8"
CFR 78

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Harrison

This is a genuine toss-up — Pena at 46% vs Harrison at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Pena throws more volume but Harrison connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pena's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pena
Harrison
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
66"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pena
Harrison
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.6
77.9
58.0
Performance Avg
72.5
52
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
100
Pena
Harrison
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
70%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
0
Body
8
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch6
0Ground6
Pena
Harrison
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pena
Harrison
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Pena
Harrison
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Pena
Harrison
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pena
Harrison
Striking3.8 / 2.0Volume5.3 / 4.7Grappling3.2 / 6.1Wrestling2.2 / 4.3Submission2.5 / 6.7Pressure5.5 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Pena
Strike Zones
Harrison
Pena
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD8BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Harrison
Attacking
12HEAD8BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (100% of attacks) — Harrison absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Harrison targets the head (55% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pena
RND
Harrison
0/0R00/0

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.2L5.5W6.3W6.7L5.1W4.3L2013-112016-072020-102022-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Harrison · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.4W4.9W6.7W2024-042024-102025-06
WinLossTrend

Pena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

Harrison · Last 3

W · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Holly HolmRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Julianna Pena · Kayla Harrison
← Back to fights