UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Nzechukwu
43%
Jung
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nzechukwu
This is a genuine toss-up — Nzechukwu at 57% vs Jung at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nzechukwu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nzechukwu's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jung has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nzechukwu
Jung
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'4"
83"+
Reach
78"
33
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Jung
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
46.4
53.2
Performance Avg
48.5
51
Quality of Victory
48
88
Momentum Score
50
Nzechukwu
Jung
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
36%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance12
0Clinch3
0Ground1
Nzechukwu
Jung
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nzechukwu
Jung
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Nzechukwu
Jung
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
50
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Nzechukwu
Jung
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nzechukwu
Jung
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
NzechukwuJung
Strike Zones
Nzechukwu
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedJung
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jung targets the head (94% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nzechukwu
RND
Jung
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nzechukwu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jung · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Nzechukwu · Last 5
Upcoming
Marcus BuchechaDecision
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Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
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W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Chris BarnettRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Jung · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 5.9Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11