METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Heavyweight
VS
85%
Arlovski
15%
Vanderaa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andrei ArlovskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jared Vanderaa · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Arlovski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Vanderaa throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vanderaa has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiVanderaa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+80"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
8.4
50.5
Performance Avg
20.7
47
Quality of Victory
25
94
Momentum Score
0
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
6
Body
7
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
13Distance21
1Clinch7
0Ground0
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
0%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Vanderaa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
ArlovskiVanderaa
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedVanderaa
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Vanderaa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Vanderaa targets the head (39% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Vanderaa
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Vanderaa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Vanderaa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · KO · R3
Chase ShermanRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R2
Alexandr RomanovRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10