UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
38%
Sonnen
62%
Bisping
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CS
Chael Sonnen
29 – 15
6'1"73" reachSouthpaw49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bisping

Bisping holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Sonnen has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bisping has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Bisping has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sonnen's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bisping has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sonnen
Bisping
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
49
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sonnen
Bisping
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.8
20.5
40.4
Performance Avg
55.3
34
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
100
Sonnen
Bisping
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground2
Sonnen
Bisping
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sonnen
Bisping
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/44 fights
Chin rating based on
29/39 fights
Sonnen
Bisping
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Sonnen
Bisping
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
10
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sonnen
Bisping
Striking1.0 / 6.4Volume6.7 / 5.4Grappling4.0 / 1.2Wrestling2.8 / 0.8Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Sonnen
Strike Zones
Bisping
Sonnen
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Bisping
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sonnen targets the head (80% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Bisping targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sonnen
RND
Bisping
0/0R00/0

Sonnen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0102.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L5.2W4.5W2.1L3.3L5.0W1.5L2005-102009-052011-102013-082013-11
WinLossTrend

Bisping · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Sonnen · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01

Bisping · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

News & Media

Chael Sonnen · Michael Bisping
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