UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Shevchenko
50%
Casey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AS
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
10 – 4
5'8"67" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
CC
Cortney Casey
"Cast Iron"
10 – 10
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shevchenko

This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 50% vs Casey at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Casey throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Shevchenko's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Shevchenko
Casey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Casey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
27.5
43.2
Performance Avg
40.3
39
Quality of Victory
41
73
Momentum Score
73
Shevchenko
Casey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
4
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance8
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Shevchenko
Casey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shevchenko
Casey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
72
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Shevchenko
Casey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
73
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Shevchenko
Casey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Casey
Striking3.5 / 2.5Volume5.0 / 4.8Grappling3.2 / 3.9Wrestling2.2 / 2.7Submission2.5 / 3.3Pressure5.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Casey
Shevchenko
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Casey
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (73% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Casey targets the head (75% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Casey
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.8L5.2W3.2L3.9L4.5W2018-112019-082020-112021-102022-07
WinLossTrend

Casey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.7L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.6W5.5L5.0W5.2L6.1L4.5W5.5L2015-072016-112018-082021-032022-07
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

Casey · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

News & Media

Antonina Shevchenko · Cortney Casey
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