UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Welterweight
VS
39%
Alves
61%
Wells
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wells
Wells holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Alves has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Alves throws more volume but Wells connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alves
Wells
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Alves
Wells
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
62.3
49.3
Performance Avg
54.9
49
Quality of Victory
44
30
Momentum Score
84
Alves
Wells
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Alves
Wells
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Wells
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Alves
Wells
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Alves
Wells
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Wells
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
AlvesWells
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedWells
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Wells absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Wells targets the head (91% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Wells
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Wells · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Wells · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 4.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
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