Rafael Dos Anjos vs Donald Cerrone — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Lightweight

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

Orlando, USA

19 Dec 2015

Lightweight

60%

Anjos

40%

Cerrone

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:06

Rafael Dos Anjos

32 – 17

5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 43

Donald Cerrone

"Cowboy"

36 – 17

Well-Rounded6-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"

CFR 28

★ Official Result

Rafael Dos AnjoswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:06

def. Donald Cerrone · UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Anjos

→

Actual result

Anjos wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Anjos holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AnjosCerrone

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Anjos

Cerrone

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+6'1"

70"

Reach

+73"

41+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Anjos

Cerrone

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.1

28.2

47.7

Performance Avg

53.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Anjos

Cerrone

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

5.6

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

6.7

5.7

Style: Volume

3.7

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

10 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

19Distance4

1Clinch0

6Ground0

Anjos

Cerrone

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.0

2.4

Submission Style (/10)

2.6

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Anjos

Cerrone

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.1 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/49 fights

Chin rating based on

38/53 fights

Anjos

Cerrone

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

6-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Anjos

Cerrone

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

43%

70%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos

Cerrone

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.6

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.8

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.0

2.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.6

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.7

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.7

Anjos

Strike Zones

Cerrone

Anjos

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Cerrone

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Anjos targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 81% of strikes there

🎯Cerrone targets the head (50% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos

RND

Cerrone

0/0R00/0

Anjos · Last 5

Upcoming

Alexander Hernandez

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Mateusz Gamrot

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

L · Dec · R5

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

W · Sub · R2

Bryan Barberena

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Jim Miller

Submission

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

L · KO · R1

Alex Morono

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

Upcoming

Niko Price

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

L · Dec · R3

Anthony Pettis

Decision

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · KO · R1

Conor McGregor

KO/TKO

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Donald Cerrone

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