★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
58%
Anjos
42%
Cerrone
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:06
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
Well-Rounded6-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 58% vs Cerrone at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Cerrone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+73"
41+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anjos
Cerrone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
28.2
47.7
Performance Avg
53.0
41
Quality of Victory
47
49
Momentum Score
63
Anjos
Cerrone
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
2
4
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance4
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Anjos
Cerrone
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anjos
Cerrone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
38/53 fights
Anjos
Cerrone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Anjos
Cerrone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
5
Submission Wins
6
12
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Cerrone
Striking3.1 / 5.6Volume5.7 / 3.7Grappling3.3 / 2.8Wrestling2.3 / 2.0Submission2.4 / 2.6Pressure4.8 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.6
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Anjos
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Anjos
Attacking
21HEAD4BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Cerrone
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD4BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Cerrone targets the head (50% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Cerrone
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Donald Cerrone
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