METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Lightweight
VS
46%
Zellhuber
54%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:55
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:55
def. Daniel Zellhuber · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Green
→
Actual result
Green wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 46% vs Green at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZellhuberGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zellhuber
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
71"
27+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
50.1
37.0
Performance Avg
47.2
33
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
85
Zellhuber
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.2
Style: Volume
5.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
29
1
Body
6
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
6Distance35
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Zellhuber
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zellhuber
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Zellhuber
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Zellhuber
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
47%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zellhuber
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
ZellhuberGreen
Strike Zones
Zellhuber
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedGreen
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (67% of attacks) — Green absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (64% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zellhuber
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Zellhuber · Last 5
L · KO · R2
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosSubmission
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
Green · Last 5
Upcoming
Esteban RibovicsUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

