UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Lightweight
VS
47%
Zellhuber
53%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:55
Daniel
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
15 – 4
6'1"77" reachSwitch26 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
King
King Green
35 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 47% vs Green at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Zellhuber
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
49.0
37.0
Performance Avg
45.9
33
Quality of Victory
38
55
Momentum Score
85
Zellhuber
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
29
1
Body
6
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
6Distance35
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Zellhuber
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zellhuber
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Zellhuber
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Zellhuber
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zellhuber
Green
Striking0.9 / 3.6Volume6.2 / 5.6Grappling4.3 / 2.9Wrestling3.0 / 2.0Submission3.3 / 1.9Pressure3.6 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Zellhuber
Strike Zones
Green
Zellhuber
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD6BODY10LEGS45 absorbed
Green
Attacking
29HEAD6BODY10LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (67% of attacks) — Green absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (64% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zellhuber
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Zellhuber · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.6L5.0W5.4W5.2W6.2L5.6L3.5L2022-092023-092024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Zellhuber · Last 5

L · KO · R2
King GreenRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Daniel Zellhuber · King Green
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