METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Ankalaev
43%
Walker
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ankalaev
This is a genuine toss-up — Ankalaev at 57% vs Walker at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Ankalaev
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
75"
Reach
+82"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
50.4
60.6
Performance Avg
54.6
43
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
41
Ankalaev
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
7.1
/ 10
8.6
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.7
5.4
Style: Volume
2.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
3
Body
1
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
7Distance14
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Ankalaev
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
17/32 fights
Ankalaev
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
41
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Ankalaev
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
88%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
AnkalaevWalker
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedWalker
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (54% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (64% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Walker · Last 5
Upcoming
Mick ParkinUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01