UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Jacksonville, USA
16 May 2020
Middleweight
VS
69%
Anders
31%
Jotko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anders
Anders holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Jotko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anders
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
22.7
45.4
Performance Avg
42.8
41
Quality of Victory
28
79
Momentum Score
60
Anders
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
19
9
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance20
6Clinch4
0Ground0
Anders
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Anders
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
60
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Anders
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
9%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Jotko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
AndersJotko
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedJotko
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the body (53% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the head (79% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jotko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05