UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Lightweight
VS
47%
Florian
53%
Stevenson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:03
KF
Kenny Florian
"KenFlo"
14 – 6
5'10"74" reachSouthpaw49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JS
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
33 – 16
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stevenson

This is a genuine toss-up — Florian at 47% vs Stevenson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Florian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stevenson has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Florian
Stevenson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
70"
49
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Stevenson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
19.6
55.4
Performance Avg
49.2
45
Quality of Victory
49
28
Momentum Score
86
Florian
Stevenson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance3
2Clinch3
5Ground0
Florian
Stevenson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Florian
Stevenson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
16/49 fights
Florian
Stevenson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
86
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Florian
Stevenson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Florian
Stevenson
Striking3.1 / 2.3Volume2.8 / 4.0Grappling5.1 / 3.9Wrestling3.5 / 2.7Submission5.8 / 3.8Pressure7.4 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Florian
Strike Zones
Stevenson
Florian
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Stevenson
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (76% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Stevenson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Florian
RND
Stevenson
0/0R00/0

Florian · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.0W3.4L5.7W5.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L2005-042007-042008-112011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Stevenson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L4.2W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L2005-112007-042008-112010-022011-06
WinLossTrend

Florian · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

News & Media

Kenny Florian · Joe Stevenson
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