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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Rivera
58%
Dodson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JR
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
23 – 5
5'4"68" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'3"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Jimmie RiverawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Dodson · UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dodson
→
Actual result
Rivera wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 42% vs Dodson at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Dodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Rivera throws more volume but Dodson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RiveraDodson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rivera
Dodson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Dodson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.8
22.0
43.5
Performance Avg
50.7
30
Quality of Victory
45
58
Momentum Score
100
Rivera
Dodson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
9
Body
7
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance16
2Clinch6
0Ground0
Rivera
Dodson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
Dodson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/34 fights
Rivera
Dodson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rivera
Dodson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rivera
Dodson
Striking2.7 / 6.2Volume8.1 / 4.4Grappling2.1 / 1.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Rivera
Strike Zones
Dodson
Rivera
Attacking
9HEAD9BODY6LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD7BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Dodson
Attacking
13HEAD7BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD9BODY6LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (38% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Dodson targets the head (59% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rivera
RND
Dodson
0/0R00/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W6.5L7.0L4.5W6.0L2015-072016-092018-092020-072021-02
WinLossTrend

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Rivera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

News & Media

Jimmie Rivera · John Dodson
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